Bundesliga · Matchweek 12
Schalke 04
SCH
Borussia Dortmund
DOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Schalke 0419%
Draw25%
Dortmund56%
Expected goals
0.91 – 1.70
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.0%
- 1–111.4%
- 0–210.3%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Dortmund will have the ball; Schalke 04 will not mind.
34%Possession50%
28%Territory37%
25%From set plays10%
0.13Chance quality0.13
4.8%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Schalke 04, 3 for Dortmund. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.