Bundesliga · Matchweek 12
Schalke 04
SCH
Borussia Dortmund
DOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Schalke 0418%
Draw28%
Dortmund54%
Expected goals
0.77 – 1.48
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
43%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–116.0%
- 1–112.0%
- 0–011.6%
- 0–211.1%
- 1–29.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Dortmund will have the ball; Schalke 04 will not mind.
42%Possession55%
37%Territory41%
60%From set plays32%
0.07Chance quality0.08
4.2%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Schalke 04, 3 for Dortmund. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Schalke 04
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.