Bundesliga · Matchweek 12
Bayer Leverkusen
LEV
Borussia Mönchengladbach
BMG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leverkusen66%
Draw21%
M'gladbach13%
Expected goals
2.07 – 0.84
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.9%
- 2–011.7%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.4%
- 3–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leverkusen will have the ball; M'gladbach will not mind.
65%Possession48%
51%Territory37%
35%From set plays40%
0.11Chance quality0.07
3.7%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leverkusen, 3 for M'gladbach. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
M'gladbach
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.