Bundesliga · Matchweek 12
Bayer Leverkusen
LEV
Borussia Mönchengladbach
BMG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leverkusen49%
Draw26%
M'gladbach25%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.15
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.0%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leverkusen will have the ball; M'gladbach will not mind.
57%Possession40%
41%Territory26%
21%From set plays21%
0.09Chance quality0.12
5.4%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leverkusen, 3 for M'gladbach. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Leverkusen
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.