Bundesliga · Matchweek 12
Augsburg
AUG
1. FC Köln
FCK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Augsburg41%
Draw26%
Köln33%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.37
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–08.8%
- 1–27.6%
- 0–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Köln get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
42%Possession43%
32%Territory37%
16%From set plays40%
0.12Chance quality0.13
5.5%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Augsburg, 3 for Köln. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Augsburg
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.