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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Bundesliga · Matchweek 11

VfB Stuttgart

STU

Eintracht Frankfurt

SGE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

VfB Stuttgart48%
Draw25%
Frankfurt26%

Expected goals

1.69 – 1.21

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–07.6%
  • 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

VfB Stuttgart will have the ball; Frankfurt will not mind.

58%Possession50%
45%Territory37%
31%From set plays17%
0.12Chance quality0.12
4.8%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for VfB Stuttgart, 3 for Frankfurt. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.