Bundesliga · Matchweek 11
Paderborn
PAD
Schalke 04
SCH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Paderborn48%
Draw30%
Schalke 0422%
Expected goals
1.31 – 0.83
Over 2.5
36%
Both to score
42%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.8%
- 0–013.1%
- 1–112.8%
- 2–09.5%
- 0–19.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Paderborn will have the ball; Schalke 04 will not mind.
53%Possession42%
38%Territory37%
64%From set plays60%
0.09Chance quality0.07
7.0%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Paderborn, 3 for Schalke 04. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Paderborn
Schalke 04
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.