Bundesliga · Matchweek 11
Paderborn
PAD
Schalke 04
SCH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Paderborn38%
Draw29%
Schalke 0432%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.17
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.3%
- 0–110.2%
- 0–09.9%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Paderborn will have the ball; Schalke 04 will not mind.
51%Possession34%
30%Territory28%
18%From set plays25%
0.06Chance quality0.13
5.4%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Paderborn, 3 for Schalke 04. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Paderborn
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.