Bundesliga · Matchweek 11
1. FC Köln
FCK
Elversberg
ELV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Köln50%
Draw26%
Elversberg24%
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.05
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–011.8%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.7%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Köln will have the ball; Elversberg will not mind.
56%Possession46%
42%Territory27%
37%From set plays25%
0.09Chance quality0.14
4.7%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Köln, 3 for Elversberg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Köln
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.