Bundesliga · Matchweek 10
Union Berlin
UNI
RB Leipzig
RBL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Union Berlin21%
Draw26%
RB Leipzig53%
Expected goals
0.97 – 1.64
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.6%
- 1–111.7%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–29.5%
- 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
RB Leipzig will have the ball; Union Berlin will not mind.
36%Possession51%
33%Territory31%
48%From set plays24%
0.13Chance quality0.17
6.0%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Union Berlin, 3 for RB Leipzig. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.