Bundesliga · Matchweek 10
Union Berlin
UNI
RB Leipzig
RBL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Union Berlin23%
Draw25%
RB Leipzig51%
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.70
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–28.5%
- 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
RB Leipzig will have the ball; Union Berlin will not mind.
50%Possession61%
34%Territory51%
70%From set plays31%
0.09Chance quality0.12
4.2%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Union Berlin, 3 for RB Leipzig. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Union Berlin
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.