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Bundesliga · Matchweek 10

Schalke 04

SCH

VfB Stuttgart

STU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Schalke 0421%
Draw25%
VfB Stuttgart54%

Expected goals

0.99 – 1.70

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–112.1%
  • 1–111.4%
  • 1–29.8%
  • 0–29.6%
  • 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

VfB Stuttgart will have the ball; Schalke 04 will not mind.

42%Possession58%
37%Territory45%
60%From set plays31%
0.07Chance quality0.12
4.2%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Schalke 04, 3 for VfB Stuttgart. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Schalke 04

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.