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Bundesliga · Matchweek 10

Schalke 04

SCH

VfB Stuttgart

STU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Schalke 0430%
Draw25%
VfB Stuttgart44%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.67

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.2%
  • 129.1%
  • 018.6%
  • 217.2%
  • 106.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

VfB Stuttgart will have the ball; Schalke 04 will not mind.

34%Possession52%
28%Territory42%
25%From set plays27%
0.13Chance quality0.12
4.8%Directness4.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Schalke 04, 3 for VfB Stuttgart. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.