Bundesliga · Matchweek 10
Eintracht Frankfurt
SGE
Hoffenheim
HOF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Frankfurt39%
Draw26%
Hoffenheim34%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.40
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–08.6%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–17.9%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession54%
41%Territory45%
27%From set plays25%
0.14Chance quality0.12
5.2%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Frankfurt, 3 for Hoffenheim. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.