Bundesliga · Matchweek 10
Bayern München
BAY
1. FC Köln
FCK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bayern München75%
Draw15%
Köln9%
Expected goals
2.64 – 0.89
Over 2.5
68%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.5%
- 2–19.1%
- 3–08.8%
- 1–08.3%
- 3–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bayern München will have the ball; Köln will not mind.
71%Possession43%
59%Territory37%
14%From set plays40%
0.14Chance quality0.13
4.0%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bayern München, 3 for Köln. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.