Bundesliga · Matchweek 9
RB Leipzig
RBL
Augsburg
AUG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
RB Leipzig60%
Draw21%
Augsburg19%
Expected goals
2.19 – 1.20
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.0%
- 2–08.2%
- 1–08.0%
- 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Augsburg will have the ball; RB Leipzig will not mind.
51%Possession59%
31%Territory45%
24%From set plays31%
0.17Chance quality0.10
3.5%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for RB Leipzig, 3 for Augsburg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.