Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Bundesliga · Matchweek 9

RB Leipzig

RBL

Augsburg

AUG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

RB Leipzig61%
Draw22%
Augsburg18%

Expected goals

2.04 – 1.05

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–110.0%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 1–19.8%
  • 2–09.5%
  • 3–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

RB Leipzig will have the ball; Augsburg will not mind.

61%Possession42%
51%Territory32%
31%From set plays16%
0.12Chance quality0.12
3.7%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for RB Leipzig, 3 for Augsburg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.