Bundesliga · Matchweek 9
Paderborn
PAD
Eintracht Frankfurt
SGE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Paderborn32%
Draw30%
Frankfurt38%
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.21
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 0–112.4%
- 0–011.5%
- 1–011.0%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Paderborn get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession50%
38%Territory37%
64%From set plays17%
0.09Chance quality0.12
7.0%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Paderborn, 3 for Frankfurt. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Paderborn
Frankfurt
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.