Bundesliga · Matchweek 9
Hoffenheim
HOF
Schalke 04
SCH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hoffenheim56%
Draw23%
Schalke 0420%
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.07
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.1%
- 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hoffenheim will have the ball; Schalke 04 will not mind.
54%Possession34%
45%Territory28%
25%From set plays25%
0.12Chance quality0.13
5.3%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hoffenheim, 3 for Schalke 04. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.