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Bundesliga · Matchweek 9

Hoffenheim

HOF

Schalke 04

SCH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hoffenheim67%
Draw22%
Schalke 0412%

Expected goals

1.91 – 0.68

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

43%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.9%
  • 2–013.6%
  • 1–19.6%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 3–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hoffenheim will have the ball; Schalke 04 will not mind.

51%Possession42%
44%Territory37%
11%From set plays60%
0.12Chance quality0.07
4.6%Directness4.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hoffenheim, 3 for Schalke 04. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Schalke 04

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.