Bundesliga · Matchweek 9
Borussia Dortmund
DOR
Elversberg
ELV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dortmund61%
Draw22%
Elversberg17%
Expected goals
1.94 – 0.94
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.4%
- 2–010.4%
- 1–110.2%
- 2–110.0%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Dortmund will have the ball; Elversberg will not mind.
55%Possession46%
41%Territory27%
32%From set plays25%
0.08Chance quality0.14
4.3%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dortmund, 3 for Elversberg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.