Bundesliga · Matchweek 8
Union Berlin
UNI
1. FC Köln
FCK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Union Berlin37%
Draw28%
Köln36%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.36
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–09.3%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Union Berlin get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession43%
34%Territory37%
70%From set plays40%
0.09Chance quality0.13
4.2%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Union Berlin, 3 for Köln. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Union Berlin
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.