Bundesliga · Matchweek 8
Schalke 04
SCH
RB Leipzig
RBL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Schalke 0422%
Draw24%
RB Leipzig54%
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.80
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–28.7%
- 0–06.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
RB Leipzig will have the ball; Schalke 04 will not mind.
34%Possession61%
28%Territory51%
25%From set plays31%
0.13Chance quality0.12
4.8%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Schalke 04, 3 for RB Leipzig. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.