Bundesliga · Matchweek 8
Bayer Leverkusen
LEV
VfB Stuttgart
STU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leverkusen55%
Draw23%
VfB Stuttgart22%
Expected goals
1.96 – 1.20
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–08.1%
- 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leverkusen will have the ball; VfB Stuttgart will not mind.
65%Possession52%
51%Territory42%
35%From set plays27%
0.11Chance quality0.12
3.7%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leverkusen, 3 for VfB Stuttgart. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.