Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Bundesliga · Matchweek 7

VfB Stuttgart

STU

Borussia Mönchengladbach

BMG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

VfB Stuttgart58%
Draw23%
M'gladbach19%

Expected goals

1.93 – 1.07

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.3%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 2–09.2%
  • 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

52%Possession48%
42%Territory37%
27%From set plays40%
0.12Chance quality0.07
4.2%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for VfB Stuttgart, 3 for M'gladbach. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

M'gladbach

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.