Bundesliga · Matchweek 7
RB Leipzig
RBL
Elversberg
ELV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
RB Leipzig66%
Draw20%
Elversberg14%
Expected goals
2.22 – 0.97
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.2%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.7%
- 1–18.9%
- 3–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
RB Leipzig will have the ball; Elversberg will not mind.
61%Possession37%
51%Territory24%
31%From set plays3%
0.12Chance quality0.16
3.7%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for RB Leipzig, 3 for Elversberg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.