Bundesliga · Matchweek 7
1. FC Köln
FCK
Schalke 04
SCH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Köln50%
Draw25%
Schalke 0424%
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.16
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.1%
- 0–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Köln will have the ball; Schalke 04 will not mind.
43%Possession34%
37%Territory28%
40%From set plays25%
0.13Chance quality0.13
6.0%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Köln, 3 for Schalke 04. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.