Bundesliga · Matchweek 7
Borussia Dortmund
DOR
Eintracht Frankfurt
SGE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dortmund59%
Draw24%
Frankfurt17%
Expected goals
1.80 – 0.91
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.6%
- 1–110.9%
- 2–010.7%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Frankfurt get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession52%
37%Territory41%
10%From set plays27%
0.13Chance quality0.14
4.7%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dortmund, 3 for Frankfurt. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.