Bundesliga · Matchweek 6
Eintracht Frankfurt
SGE
1. FC Köln
FCK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Frankfurt45%
Draw26%
Köln29%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.28
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.2%
- 1–27.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Frankfurt will have the ball; Köln will not mind.
52%Possession43%
41%Territory37%
27%From set plays40%
0.14Chance quality0.13
5.2%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Frankfurt, 3 for Köln. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.