Bundesliga · Matchweek 6
Borussia Mönchengladbach
BMG
Hoffenheim
HOF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
M'gladbach29%
Draw27%
Hoffenheim44%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.53
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–08.0%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
M'gladbach get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession54%
37%Territory45%
40%From set plays25%
0.07Chance quality0.12
5.7%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for M'gladbach, 3 for Hoffenheim. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
M'gladbach
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.