Bundesliga · Matchweek 6
Bayern München
BAY
RB Leipzig
RBL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bayern München61%
Draw21%
RB Leipzig18%
Expected goals
2.12 – 1.11
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.4%
- 1–09.0%
- 2–08.9%
- 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bayern München will have the ball; RB Leipzig will not mind.
71%Possession61%
59%Territory51%
14%From set plays31%
0.14Chance quality0.12
4.0%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bayern München, 3 for RB Leipzig. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.