Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Bundesliga · Matchweek 5

Union Berlin

UNI

Elversberg

ELV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Union Berlin44%
Draw27%
Elversberg29%

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.23

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Union Berlin will have the ball; Elversberg will not mind.

50%Possession37%
34%Territory24%
70%From set plays3%
0.09Chance quality0.16
4.2%Directness4.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Union Berlin, 3 for Elversberg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.