Bundesliga · Matchweek 5
RB Leipzig
RBL
Eintracht Frankfurt
SGE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
RB Leipzig56%
Draw23%
Frankfurt20%
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.09
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–08.9%
- 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
RB Leipzig will have the ball; Frankfurt will not mind.
61%Possession52%
51%Territory41%
31%From set plays27%
0.12Chance quality0.14
3.7%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for RB Leipzig, 3 for Frankfurt. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.