Bundesliga · Matchweek 5
Freiburg
FRE
Schalke 04
SCH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Freiburg58%
Draw24%
Schalke 0417%
Expected goals
1.76 – 0.89
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.0%
- 1–111.0%
- 2–010.8%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Freiburg will have the ball; Schalke 04 will not mind.
52%Possession34%
43%Territory28%
23%From set plays25%
0.11Chance quality0.13
5.6%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Freiburg, 3 for Schalke 04. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.