Bundesliga · Matchweek 4
Schalke 04
SCH
Elversberg
ELV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Schalke 0442%
Draw27%
Elversberg31%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.30
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–17.9%
- 1–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Schalke 04 get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
34%Possession37%
28%Territory24%
25%From set plays3%
0.13Chance quality0.16
4.8%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Schalke 04, 3 for Elversberg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.