LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 27
Tenerife
TEN
Albacete
ALB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tenerife44%
Draw30%
Albacete26%
Expected goals
1.31 – 0.95
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.9%
- 1–113.0%
- 0–011.7%
- 0–19.8%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession40%
31%Territory37%
35%From set plays38%
0.10Chance quality0.07
10.1%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Tenerife, 3 for Albacete. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Tenerife
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.