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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 27

Sporting Gijón

SPO

FC Andorra

FCA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sporting Gijón53%
Draw25%
FC Andorra22%

Expected goals

1.70 – 1.03

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–011.7%
  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–09.2%
  • 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

51%Possession71%
39%Territory48%
18%From set plays15%
0.10Chance quality0.07
4.1%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sporting Gijón, 2 for FC Andorra. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

FC Andorra

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.