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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 27

Sabadell

SAB

Eldense

ELD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sabadell43%
Draw28%
Eldense29%

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.14

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–011.5%
  • 0–09.0%
  • 0–19.0%
  • 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sabadell get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

56%Possession55%
38%Territory36%
35%From set plays18%
0.07Chance quality0.12
7.1%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sabadell, 3 for Eldense. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.