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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 27

Real Sociedad B

REL

Real Valladolid

REA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Sociedad B46%
Draw26%
Real Valladolid28%

Expected goals

1.64 – 1.27

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 0–17.1%
  • 2–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Valladolid get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

52%Possession50%
39%Territory34%
20%From set plays37%
0.10Chance quality0.11
6.0%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Sociedad B, 3 for Real Valladolid. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.