LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 27
Mallorca
MLL
Granada
GRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Mallorca31%
Draw28%
Granada42%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.43
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–110.7%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–08.8%
- 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession44%
29%Territory33%
40%From set plays27%
0.10Chance quality0.12
4.3%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Mallorca, 3 for Granada. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Mallorca
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.