LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 27
Leganés
LEG
Cádiz
CDI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leganés48%
Draw26%
Cádiz26%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.20
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–07.6%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
52%Possession41%
36%Territory31%
16%From set plays8%
0.13Chance quality0.12
6.5%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leganés, 2 for Cádiz. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Cádiz
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.