LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 27
Eibar
EIB
Real Oviedo
OVI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Eibar48%
Draw23%
Real Oviedo29%
Expected goals
1.99 – 1.54
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
69%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.3%
- 2–18.9%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–26.7%
- 1–06.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession54%
41%Territory44%
28%From set plays35%
0.12Chance quality0.09
4.5%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eibar, 3 for Real Oviedo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Eibar
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Real Oviedo
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.