LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 27
Celta Fortuna
CEL
Las Palmas
LAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celta Fortuna37%
Draw26%
Las Palmas37%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.49
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.3%
- 1–07.9%
- 0–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession46%
36%Territory34%
6%From set plays12%
0.13Chance quality0.11
4.4%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Celta Fortuna, 3 for Las Palmas. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Celta Fortuna
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.