LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 27
Almería
ALM
AD Ceuta FC
ADC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Almería65%
Draw18%
AD Ceuta FC17%
Expected goals
2.56 – 1.30
Over 2.5
73%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.1%
- 3–17.6%
- 1–17.2%
- 2–07.1%
- 1–05.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AD Ceuta FC will have the ball; Almería will not mind.
45%Possession57%
26%Territory41%
19%From set plays42%
0.14Chance quality0.10
4.9%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Almería, 3 for AD Ceuta FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
AD Ceuta FC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.