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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 26

Las Palmas

LAS

Eibar

EIB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Las Palmas37%
Draw25%
Eibar38%

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.64

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.5%
  • 1–28.2%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 0–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Eibar get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

46%Possession49%
34%Territory41%
12%From set plays28%
0.11Chance quality0.12
5.6%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Las Palmas, 3 for Eibar. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Eibar

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.