LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 26
Granada
GRA
Leganés
LEG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Granada48%
Draw28%
Leganés24%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.01
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.8%
- 1–112.4%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–19.2%
- 2–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession47%
33%Territory34%
27%From set plays13%
0.12Chance quality0.14
7.9%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Granada, 2 for Leganés. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Leganés
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 129 matches, not the full season.