LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 26
Eldense
ELD
Tenerife
TEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Eldense39%
Draw29%
Tenerife32%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.19
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–011.0%
- 0–19.7%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession44%
36%Territory31%
18%From set plays35%
0.12Chance quality0.10
5.2%Directness10.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eldense, 2 for Tenerife. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Tenerife
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.