LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 26
Burgos CF
BUR
Almería
ALM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Burgos CF44%
Draw29%
Almería27%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.05
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–012.4%
- 0–09.7%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Burgos CF get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
40%Possession45%
35%Territory26%
42%From set plays19%
0.11Chance quality0.14
9.7%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Burgos CF, 3 for Almería. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.