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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 26

Albacete

ALB

Castellón

CAS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Albacete15%
Draw24%
Castellón60%

Expected goals

0.77 – 1.73

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

45%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–114.7%
  • 0–212.0%
  • 1–110.9%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–09.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Castellón will have the ball; Albacete will not mind.

40%Possession57%
37%Territory42%
38%From set plays23%
0.07Chance quality0.14
6.8%Directness3.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Albacete, 3 for Castellón. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.