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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 25

Tenerife

TEN

Granada

GRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Tenerife33%
Draw31%
Granada36%

Expected goals

1.08 – 1.15

Over 2.5

38%

Both to score

47%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.5%
  • 0–112.5%
  • 0–012.2%
  • 1–011.6%
  • 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

44%Possession44%
31%Territory33%
35%From set plays27%
0.10Chance quality0.12
10.1%Directness7.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Tenerife, 3 for Granada. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.