LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 25
Sporting Gijón
SPO
AD Ceuta FC
ADC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting Gijón62%
Draw20%
AD Ceuta FC18%
Expected goals
2.27 – 1.19
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.7%
- 1–18.6%
- 2–08.2%
- 1–07.7%
- 3–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AD Ceuta FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession57%
39%Territory41%
18%From set plays42%
0.10Chance quality0.10
4.1%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sporting Gijón, 3 for AD Ceuta FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
AD Ceuta FC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.