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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 25

Sabadell

SAB

Burgos CF

BUR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sabadell26%
Draw32%
Burgos CF42%

Expected goals

0.88 – 1.16

Over 2.5

34%

Both to score

42%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–115.2%
  • 0–014.4%
  • 1–113.3%
  • 1–011.1%
  • 0–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sabadell will have the ball; Burgos CF will not mind.

56%Possession40%
38%Territory35%
35%From set plays42%
0.07Chance quality0.11
7.1%Directness9.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sabadell, 3 for Burgos CF. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.