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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 25

Mallorca

MLL

Eldense

ELD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Mallorca41%
Draw26%
Eldense33%

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.39

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–08.6%
  • 1–27.7%
  • 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

48%Possession55%
29%Territory36%
40%From set plays18%
0.10Chance quality0.12
4.3%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Mallorca, 3 for Eldense. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.