LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 25
Celta Fortuna
CEL
Girona
GIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celta Fortuna26%
Draw26%
Girona48%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.65
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–27.7%
- 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession50%
36%Territory38%
6%From set plays12%
0.13Chance quality0.11
4.4%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Celta Fortuna, 4 for Girona. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Celta Fortuna
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 129 matches, not the full season.