LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 25
Castellón
CAS
Las Palmas
LAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Castellón72%
Draw18%
Las Palmas10%
Expected goals
2.28 – 0.77
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.5%
- 1–011.4%
- 2–19.5%
- 3–09.1%
- 1–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Castellón will have the ball; Las Palmas will not mind.
57%Possession46%
42%Territory34%
23%From set plays12%
0.14Chance quality0.11
3.1%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Castellón, 3 for Las Palmas. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.