LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 25
Almería
ALM
Eibar
EIB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Almería53%
Draw22%
Eibar24%
Expected goals
2.07 – 1.38
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.4%
- 1–19.3%
- 1–07.1%
- 2–06.8%
- 2–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession49%
26%Territory41%
19%From set plays28%
0.14Chance quality0.12
4.9%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Almería, 3 for Eibar. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Eibar
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.