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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 25

Albacete

ALB

Real Valladolid

REA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Albacete36%
Draw27%
Real Valladolid37%

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.41

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Valladolid will have the ball; Albacete will not mind.

40%Possession51%
37%Territory37%
38%From set plays28%
0.07Chance quality0.11
6.8%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Albacete, 3 for Real Valladolid. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.